Sunday, January 01, 2006

Good LORD! we've gone to Storm ZETA!?!

BREITBART.COM - Tropical Storm Zeta Drifts Across Atlantic

Tropical Storm Zeta, the 27th named storm of a record-breaking hurricane season, drifted westward across the Atlantic on Sunday and forecasters said it might weaken during the day. Zeta had top sustained wind of about 50 mph, according to the National Hurricane Center. Forecasters said it was not expected to become a hurricane or threaten land.

3 comments:

CSH said...

that is just nuts

Polly said...

i was wondering what your thoughts would be. do you think, with the changing of the gulf stream, we're just heading for more of this?

CSH said...

I think it’s hard to say. With any dynamical system you are going to end up with strange perturbations from time to time. The hurricane season isn't a rule, or a natural law, its just a general rule of thumb based on observations. This sort of outlier isn't necessarily an indicator of anything.

On the other hand it could be one of the first signs of the failing of the North Atlantic current which would cause things far worse than tropical storms in December (think year round ice in Memphis or Kansas as a desert, Florida could have either way more or way less coastline).

But I don't personally think this storm is any big deal. We have only had decent data on storms in the Atlantic for about 30 years and that has only gotten really good in the last ten. Until the advent of satellites, if there wasn't a ship caught in the storm, we didn't know that it happened. This dinky little release of energy could be common.