Polly Explains the Polls.

lately there's been a BIG lead for bush in the gallup polls (until the debates came). here's why: they were weighting the polls with more GOP participants. guess what happens? you get a better turn out for bush. take a look!

Likely Voter Samples
Poll of September 13-15
Reflected Bush Winning by 55%-42%

GOP: 40%
Dem: 33%
Ind: 28%

Poll of September 24-26
Reflected Bush Winning by 52%-44%

GOP: 43%
Dem: 31%
Ind: 25%

Poll of October 1-3
Reflected Dead Heat 49%-49%

GOP: 35%
Dem: 39%
Ind: 26%

Also note above that it said "Likely Voters". this is commonly what we see in the news lately. that means registered voters that have a history of voting in previous elections. this sort of poll is designed to completely ignores the hundreds of thousands (millions?) of new voters on the rolls now. it also ignores voters too young to have a vote history. This just shows that a good turnout of new/young/pissed off voters can knock these poll numbers out of the water.